Home Price Appreciation Is Skyrocketing in 2021. What About 2022?
One of the major story lines over the last year is how well the residential real estate market performed. One key metric in the spotlight is home price appreciation. According to the latest indices, home prices are skyrocketing this year.
Here are the latest percentages showing the year-over-year increase in home price appreciation:
The dramatic increases are seen at every price point and in all regions of the country.
Increases Are Across Every Price Point
According to the latest Home Price Index from CoreLogic, each price range is seeing at least a 19% increase year-over-year:
Increases Are Across Every Region in the Country
Every region in the country is experiencing at least a 14.9% increase in home price appreciation, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA):
Increases Are Across Each of the Top 20 Metros in the Country
According to the U.S. National Home Price Index from S&P Case-Shiller, every major metro is seeing at least a 13.3% growth in prices (see graph below):
What About Price Appreciation in 2022?
Prices are the result of the balance between supply and demand. The demand for single-family homes has been strong over the last 18 months. The supply of houses available for sale was near historic lows. However, there’s some good news on the supply side. Realtor.comreports:
“432,000 new listings hit the national housing market in August, an increase of 18,000 over last year.”
There will, however, still be a shortage of supply compared to demand in 2022. CoreLogicreveals:
“Given the widespread demand and considering the number of standalone homes built during the past decade, the single-family market is estimated to be undersupplied by 4.35 million units by 2022.”
Yet, most forecasts call for home price appreciation to moderate in 2022. The Home Price Expectation Survey, a survey of over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts, calls for a 5.12% appreciation level next year. Here are the 2022 home appreciation forecasts from the four other major entities:
Price appreciation is expected to slow in 2022 when compared to the record highs of 2021. However, it is still expected to be greater than the annual average of 4.1% over the last 25 years.
If you owned a home over the past year, you’ve seen your household wealth grow substantially, and you’ll see another nice boost in 2022. If you’re thinking of buying, consider buying now as prices are forecast to continue increasing through at least next year.
In today’s real estate market, low inventory and high demand are driving up home prices. As many as 54% of homes are getting offers over the listing price, based on the latest Realtors Confidence Index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Shawn Telford, Chief Appraiser at CoreLogic, elaborates:
As we enter the middle of 2021, many are wondering if we’ll see big changes in the housing market during the second half of this year. Here’s a look at what some experts have to say about key factors that will drive the industry and the economy forward in the months to come.
“. . . homes continue to sell quickly in what’s normally the fastest-moving time of the year. This is in contrast with 2020 when homes sold slower in the spring and fastest in September and October. While we expect fall to be competitive, this year’s seasonal pattern is likely to be more normal, with homes selling fastest from roughly now until mid-summer.”
“Sellers who have been hesitant to list homes as part of their personal health safety precautions may be more encouraged to list and show their homes with a population mostly vaccinated by the mid-year.”
“Surveys showed that seller confidence continued to rise in April. Extra confidence plus our recent survey finding that more homeowners than normal are planning to list their homes for sale in the next 12 months suggest that while we may not see an end to the sellers’ market, we might see the intensity of the competition diminish as buyers have more options to choose from.”
“We forecast that mortgage rates will continue to rise through the end of next year. We estimate the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will average 3.4% in the fourth quarter of 2021, rising to 3.8% in the fourth quarter of 2022.”
Experts are optimistic about the second half of the year. Let’s connect today to talk more about the conditions in our local market.
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C O V I D – 1 9 It seems every day brings new challenges regarding COVID-19, and we are so sad to have to implement the following procedures. However, the most important thing to us is the health and wellness of our family, friends, team, clients, and community. WE all need to be doing our part to avoid unknowingly spreading COVID-19. Here are a few of the things Team Sisters are doing to keep our community safe… Team Sisters will be working remotely from home. All documentation will be presented and signed electronically. This is now becoming a necessity and we are very thankful to be able to have this capability for ourselves and our clients. We are conducting meetings via conference phone calls as necessary for our buyer and seller consults. We are also available via text and email. We are temporarily postponing all in person Seller & Buyer consultations. As always, we want our sellers’ listings to get plenty of attention and exposure, so while there is so much attention and distraction with COVID 19, we are working with our new sellers individually to assess whether or not we should list now or wait to list once things have calmed down a little so as to not miss out on new listing activity. ONLINE Video tours in place of in person showings will also be implemented. We are working on marketing plans for all of our active listings and will continue to market across all platforms. We are continuing to conduct home searches for our active buyers and sending housing options via email. We are happy to report that despite COVID-19, we are currently negotiating several offers and still responding to inquiries on our listings. Rates are expected to remain low and once we are through this the market will take off and homes that are ready will sell quickly. If there is anything we can do for you, please let us know. Thank you for so much for your business and continued trust. We will get through this together. Prayers for peace and calm during this time. Please follow the CDC Guideline. Stay strong & STAY HOME! Team Sisters BR Web site
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